Survey Results
Thanks to those of my readers who participated in the pre-election "test" survey. The results are fascinating.
I tried out some new online software that makes it relatively easy to do polling and was very pleased with how it turned out. If I only knew how to use Microsoft Access properly, I probably could manipulate the data a lot better as well.
I just asked the people to whom I send out email notices about my BLOG postings to complete the poll as well as anyone who happened to find my BLOG. The poll is not scientific I will admit and, I do not claim that it is. It is more a reflection of the readership of this Blog, but many of the readers of this Blog are leaders in the City and are interested in what goes on here. You, dear reader, can discount it completely if you choose but the results are very interesting to me.
The response rate was very high, about 17% of those who came to the Blogsite completed the survey. I shut off the polling at 8:45 PM last night so I could comment on what I found. It seems that what I have been saying to people over the past few months by gut feel has been fairly accurate.
As pure data, if I were a member of the E-machine I would be very worried right now. People seem to have formed their opinion about Eddie. The opinions are very definite as well. Only about 24% are Very Satisfied or Somewhat Satisfied with the job Eddie is doing. Almost 63% are Very Dissatisfied or Somewhat Dissatisfied. 50% are Very Dissatisfied, a huge number! Very few are undecided. Even George W's approval rating is better at 32%!
It would appear that the Star's support of the Mayor is not necessarily reflected in the Community, contrary to expectations! Surprise, surprise, people actually can think on their own.
If an election were to be held today, almost 53% would absolutely not vote for the Mayor. If we add in the Somewhat unlikely and Very unlikely, then almost 63% would not favour the Mayor. With 13% Undecided, the Mayor has few fans.
As should be expected, the border and economic development are the biggest issues while the Arena was barely mentioned. Infrastructure was in the middle while surprisingly, taxes were not high on people’s minds. Obviously, Eddie has not done well on the issues people believe to be important and that reflects in the ratings.
Respecting Councillor performance, experience clearly counts. The best job was done by the senior politicians while the rookies did very poorly.
The worst job---again the rookies did very poorly.
Some surprises. Two Councillors that Gord Henderson seems to like best on his ratings, Brister and Gignac, both ranked very low. Councillor Halberstadt, you love him or hate him with no in-betweens. Notwithstanding the smear-job, the Senator, Councillor Cassivi, and Councillor Valentinis ranked very well.
The biggest surprises were Councillor Jones who ranked much higher than I thought and Councillor Zuk who ranked much lower than I thought. Two of the rookies, Councillors Postma and Lewenza were ranked about the same, towards the bottom of the list. Finally Councillor Wilson still has some fans, ranking higher than I would have thought, perhaps reflecting that he is not going to run again.
Looking at the Wards:
I tried out some new online software that makes it relatively easy to do polling and was very pleased with how it turned out. If I only knew how to use Microsoft Access properly, I probably could manipulate the data a lot better as well.
I just asked the people to whom I send out email notices about my BLOG postings to complete the poll as well as anyone who happened to find my BLOG. The poll is not scientific I will admit and, I do not claim that it is. It is more a reflection of the readership of this Blog, but many of the readers of this Blog are leaders in the City and are interested in what goes on here. You, dear reader, can discount it completely if you choose but the results are very interesting to me.
The response rate was very high, about 17% of those who came to the Blogsite completed the survey. I shut off the polling at 8:45 PM last night so I could comment on what I found. It seems that what I have been saying to people over the past few months by gut feel has been fairly accurate.
As pure data, if I were a member of the E-machine I would be very worried right now. People seem to have formed their opinion about Eddie. The opinions are very definite as well. Only about 24% are Very Satisfied or Somewhat Satisfied with the job Eddie is doing. Almost 63% are Very Dissatisfied or Somewhat Dissatisfied. 50% are Very Dissatisfied, a huge number! Very few are undecided. Even George W's approval rating is better at 32%!
It would appear that the Star's support of the Mayor is not necessarily reflected in the Community, contrary to expectations! Surprise, surprise, people actually can think on their own.
If an election were to be held today, almost 53% would absolutely not vote for the Mayor. If we add in the Somewhat unlikely and Very unlikely, then almost 63% would not favour the Mayor. With 13% Undecided, the Mayor has few fans.
As should be expected, the border and economic development are the biggest issues while the Arena was barely mentioned. Infrastructure was in the middle while surprisingly, taxes were not high on people’s minds. Obviously, Eddie has not done well on the issues people believe to be important and that reflects in the ratings.
Respecting Councillor performance, experience clearly counts. The best job was done by the senior politicians while the rookies did very poorly.
The worst job---again the rookies did very poorly.
Some surprises. Two Councillors that Gord Henderson seems to like best on his ratings, Brister and Gignac, both ranked very low. Councillor Halberstadt, you love him or hate him with no in-betweens. Notwithstanding the smear-job, the Senator, Councillor Cassivi, and Councillor Valentinis ranked very well.
The biggest surprises were Councillor Jones who ranked much higher than I thought and Councillor Zuk who ranked much lower than I thought. Two of the rookies, Councillors Postma and Lewenza were ranked about the same, towards the bottom of the list. Finally Councillor Wilson still has some fans, ranking higher than I would have thought, perhaps reflecting that he is not going to run again.
Looking at the Wards:
- Ward 1—Should be wide-open for a challenger or two
- Ward 2—Councillor Jones is fairly secure
- Ward 3—Challengers should save their deposits and go elsewhere
- Ward 4—The Senator is secure
- Ward 5---It’s wide-open again
As for the Mayor’s race, it may be a replay of the last election if the respondents have their way: a three-way race among Eddie, Bill Marra and the Bacon Man! Overwhelmingly, respondents thought that Bill Marra would run.
While this is fun to experiment with, in the real world, the only poll that counts is on Election Day.
posted by JoeBlog at 6:45 a.m.
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